Why This Matters
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Welcome to Spodek Law Group. Our mission here is to give you the reality of COVID relief fraud prosecutions - not the sanitized version the government presents, not the "it's probably fine" reassurance your accountant offered, but the actual truth about what is happening right now to business owners who took PPP loans, EIDL funding, or any pandemic relief.
If you received that forgiveness letter in 2021 or 2022 and thought the book was closed, you need to understand something critical: forgiveness was about repayment. It was never about fraud. The government extended the statute of limitations to ten years specifically so they could prosecute COVID fraud through 2030 and beyond. They created five regional strike forces. They charged over 3,000 defendants as of December 2024, with a 97% conviction rate. And sentences in 2025 are running 40% longer than identical conduct received in 2022.
The pandemic ended. The prosecutions are just getting started.
What That Forgiveness Letter Actually Means
You probably remember the relief when that PPP forgiveness came through. Finally, you thought, this chapter is closed. But heres the thing that nobody explained at the time - forgiveness addressed whether you had to repay the loan. It said nothing about whether your application was accurate. Those are two completly separate legal questions.
When the SBA forgave your loan, the federal government effectively paid off your debt. That creates something prosecutors love: a direct financial stake. The government gave you money based on representations you made. If those representations were false, they want it back. And they want to punish you for lying to get it.
The DOJ doesnt care that you thought everyone was inflating numbers. They dont care that your accountant said "this is how its done." They care that you signed a certification, under penalty of perjury, that certain things were true. If those things werent true, you have a problem. A serious one.
The Four Programs Under Federal Microscope
Federal prosecutors are investigating fraud across every major COVID relief program. Each one has its own rules, its own vulnerabilities, and its own prosecution patterns. Understanding which programs you touched is the first step in understanding your exposure.
Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) was the big one. Over $800 billion distributed to help businesses keep employees on payroll. The SBA estimates $64 billion was stolen through fraud. Thats not exageration - thats the governments own numbers. The common fraud patterns include inflating payroll costs, fabricating employees who didnt exist, misrepresenting what the money was used for, and applying through multiple lenders for the same business.
Economic Injury Disaster Loans (EIDL) went directly from the SBA to businesses claiming economic injury from COVID. Unlike PPP, these were actual loans that had to be repaid. But many people treated the EIDL advance grants like free money. Others lied on applications about revenue, about employees, about business operations. The SBA Office of Inspector General flagged over $200 billion in potentialy fraudulent pandemic relief loans. Thats PPP and EIDL combined.
Unemployment Insurance Programs saw maybe the most rampant fraud. Estimates range from $100 billion to $135 billion stolen between April 2020 and May 2023. People filed for unemployment while working. People filed using stolen identities. Organized rings filed thousands of false claims. The Department of Labor OIG opened over 200,000 investigations - a thousandfold increase from pre-pandemic levels.
CARES Act Funds Broadly covered everything else - Provider Relief Funds for healthcare, Employee Retention Credits, various state and local grant programs. Each had certification requirements. Each created fraud exposure for people who didnt take those certifications seriously.
Heres were it gets uncomfortable: most people touched multiple programs. If you got PPP and EIDL and filed for unemployment, thats three potential fraud exposures. Prosecutors love stacking charges.
What makes this worse is the digital trail you left behind. Every application went through the internet - thats wire fraud exposure. Every bank deposit created a record - thats money laundering potential. Every certification you signed is a potential false statement charge. The programs were designed for speed during an emergency. That speed created perfect conditions for fraud AND perfect documentation for proving it later.
Why 2025-2030 Are The Danger Years
Let me explain the timeline because it directly contradicts what most people assume.
The default federal statute of limitations for fraud is five years. That would have meant April 2020 PPP loans expired in April 2025. People were counting down. They were waiting it out. But in August 2022, Congress passed two laws: the PPP and Bank Fraud Enforcement Harmonization Act, and the COVID-19 EIDL Fraud Statute of Limitations Act. Both extended the statute to ten years.
This wasnt an accident. Congress looked at the scale of fraud, looked at how long investigations take, and deliberately gave prosecutors more time. April 2020 loans can now be prosecuted until April 2030. EIDL loans from 2021 can be prosecuted until 2031. The window you thought was closing just got extended by half a decade.
But the real insight is about enforcement resources. Heres what nobodys talking about: pandemic relief programs ended in 2021-2023. The money stopped flowing. But the investigations are still ramping up. The DOJ COVID-19 Fraud Enforcement Task Force has over 700 active cases right now. They have five strike forces in Maryland, New Jersey, Colorado, Southern Florida, and California with dedicated prosecutors, FBI agents, and data analysts.
These strike forces arent waiting for tips. Theyre using algorithms to identify fraud patterns systematically. Theyre cross-referencing loan applications with tax returns, with bank records, with business registration data. Your application claimed 10 employees and $40,000 monthly payroll? They can check that against your 941 filings. If the numbers dont match, you get flagged.
As Todd Spodek explains to clients facing these investigations: the question isnt whether they have the resources to find you. The question is whether your number has come up yet in their queue of 70,000 flagged loans.
The 97% Conviction Machine
OK so heres the part that should genuinely terrify anyone facing a federal investigation for COVID fraud.
The federal conviction rate is 97%. That number seems impossible until you understand how it works. Federal prosecutors dont bring cases they might lose. They bring cases they know theyll win. By the time youre charged, theyve already reviewed your documents, interviewed witnesses, built their timeline, and concluded beyond their own internal doubt that you committed fraud.
About 90% of federal defendants plead guilty. Not because theyre all guilty of everything charged - becuase fighting and losing means a longer sentence. The sentancing guidelines reward guilty pleas with reductions. They punish trials with enhancements for "obstruction" if you testify and prosecutors argue you lied. The system is designed to coerce pleas.
Think about what that 97% number actually means. For every 100 people charged, 97 end up convicted. The three who beat it usualy had some procedural issue or cooperated so extensively they got dismissed. Actual trial acquittals are almost unheard of.
And the sentences are getting worse. Defense attorneys are reporting that defendants sentenced in 2024-2025 are receiving prison terms 40% longer on average then those sentenced in 2021-2022 for identical conduct. Early in the pandemic, judges showed some leniency. That mercy window has closed. Judges have seen thousands of these cases now. Theyre not impressed by excuses.
Recent sentencing examples make this concrete:
- Phoenix news anchor Stephanie Hockridge: 10 years for $63 million fraud scheme
- Minnesota "Feeding Our Future" lead defendant: 28 years - the longest pandemic fraud sentence so far
- McKinney, Texas defendant: over 24 years
- Akron tax preparer: 11 years for $1.2 million fraud
- Cincinnati defendant: 18 months for just $21,000
That last one is critical. Eighteen months in federal prison for $21,000. There is no amount too small to prosecute. They want deterrence. They want headlines. They want people like you reading this article and understanding that ignoring this problem guarantees it gets worse.
The sentancing guidelines calculate your offense level based primarily on how much money was involved. But judges have discretion. And theyre using it. Were seeing departures above the guidelines in pandemic fraud cases because judges want to send messages. They watched the chaos unfold in real time. Theyre not sympathetic to arguments about confusion or bad advice.
How Your Accountant Becomes Their Star Witness
Heres a consequence cascade that most people dont see coming until its too late.
You hired an accountant or tax preparer to handle your PPP application. They asked for some documents, did some calculations, filled out the forms, and told you where to sign. You trusted them. They were the profesional. They knew what they were doing, right?
Now imagine this sequence: The government sends a subpoena to your accountant. Not to you - to them. Your accountant suddenly realizes they have personal exposure. They filed these applications. They made these calculations. They could be charged as co-conspirators.
Your accountant hires their own lawyer. That lawyer advises them that cooperation is their best option. Provide documents. Testify truthfully. Implicate the business owner who signed the certification. In exchange, the accountant gets reduced charges or immunity.
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(212) 300-5196Your trusted advisor becomes the governments star witness. They testify about what you told them. What you asked them to do. What you knew about the numbers being inflated. Every conversation you thought was privileged - it wasnt. Accountant-client privilege is extremly limited compared to attorney-client privilege. Those communications are coming into evidence.
This isnt hypothetical. The Akron tax preparer who got 11 years? His clients are being prosecuted too. The accountant who helped you "maximize" your PPP loan may be cooperating right now to minimize their own sentence. And you wont know until youre indicted.
At Spodek Law Group, weve seen this pattern repeat across dozens of cases. The first sign is often when the accountant suddenly becomes unavailable or refers you to their lawyer. Thats the moment most people should be calling us. Instead, they wait. They assume it will blow over. It dosent.
The Investigation Spiral Nobody Mentions
Let me walk you through what actualy happens when the government targets your PPP or EIDL loan. This isnt abstract. This is the domino effect that destroys businesses, families, and futures.
Stage 1: The Letter
It starts with correspondence. Maybe from the SBA Office of Inspector General. Maybe from a U.S. Attorneys office. They want documents. Loan applications, bank statements, payroll records, correspondence with lenders. This seems managable. Just paperwork.
But responding to that letter without legal guidance is catastrophic. Every document you provide becomes evidence. Every cover letter you write becomes a statement. Every omission becomes proof of consciousness of guilt. People try to "handle it themselves" and end up handing prosecutors their case file.
Stage 2: The Squeeze
Your bank accounts get frozen. The government files a seizure warrant. Suddenly you cannot make payroll. You cannot pay vendors. You cannot access the operating capital that keeps your business alive. This isnt punishment yet - its "preservation of assets subject to forfeiture." But the effect is the same: your business starts dying.
Clients call us at this stage in absolute panic. Their employees cant get paid. Their suppliers are demanding cash on delivery. Their customers are hearing rumors. The business they built over years is suffocating in weeks.
Stage 3: The Indictment
Formal charges get filed. Wire fraud, bank fraud, making false statements, money laundering, conspiracy. Each charge carries its own maximum. Prosecutors stack them because stacked charges mean stacked leverage. A typical PPP fraud indictment could theoretically carry over 100 years in prison. Nobody gets that. But the threat of that number is designed to make plea deals look attractive.
Stage 4: The Choice
Fight and probably lose - with sentences that include "trial tax" for making the government prove its case. Or plead guilty and accept prison time, restitution, forfeiture, supervised release, and a felony record that follows you forever.
This is why intervention before Stage 1 matters so much. Everything after that first letter is damage control. But before that letter? Theres actually space to negotiate. To cooperate proactively. To potentially avoid the worst outcomes. That window is measured in weeks, sometimes days.
What most people dont understand is that pre-indictment cooperation looks completly different from post-indictment cooperation. Before charges are filed, you can sometimes negotiate civil resolution - pay back the money plus penalties, avoid criminal record. After charges? Your cooperation might reduce your sentence but you still have a felony conviction. The leverage disappears the moment an indictment is filed. Every day you wait is a day that window gets smaller.
What Real COVID Fraud Cases Look Like in 2025
Lets look at actual cases to understand what the government prosecutes and how sentences are determined.
The Phoenix News Anchor: Stephanie Hockridge was a local TV personality who participated in a $63 million fraud scheme. She and her husband filed dozens of fraudulent PPP applications for fake businesses. She got 10 years. Her profile made her a target. The government wanted a headline, and they got one.
The Minnesota Feeding Our Future Scandal: This started as a legitimate nonprofit providing meals to children. Then the founders realized they could bill the government for millions of meals that were never served. The lead defendant received 28 years - currently the longest pandemic fraud sentence. The youngest defendant, who was barely involved, still got 10 years.
Notice the pattern: these werent professional criminals. They were an accountant. A nonprofit director. A news anchor. Ordinary people who saw an opportunity and took it. The government is making examples specificaly of people who "should have known better."
The Tax Preparer Pipeline: That Akron tax preparer who got 11 years? He filed fraudulent applications for multiple clients, collecting fees from each one. Now those clients are facing their own charges. If your tax preparer is under investigation, you should assume youre on a list somewhere.
The Small-Dollar Prosecutions: A Cincinnati defendant received 18 months for $21,000 in fraud. Thats a federal prison sentence for roughly what some people made in a month at their job. The government is not ignoring small amounts. They need volume to justify their strike forces. Your "small" loan is exactly what they want.
These cases share common threads. The defendants all thought they wouldnt get caught. They all assumed someone else was responsible for the fraud - the accountant, the lender, the system itself. They all waited too long to address the problem. And they all ended up in federal prison anyway. The pattern is predictible and its repeating thousands of times across the country right now.
The Only Window That Matters Now
If your reading this and wondering whether you have a problem, let me be direct: the time to find out is now. Not when the letter arrives. Not when your accounts get frozen. Now.
At Spodek Law Group, we conduct confidential assessments of COVID relief exposure. We review your applications, your supporting documents, your certifications. We identify discrepancies before prosecutors do. And we develop strategies that range from "you're fine, stop worrying" to "we need to engage with the government immediately on your terms."
The difference between proactive engagement and reactive defense is enormous. Proactive engagement can sometimes result in civil resolution rather than criminal charges. It can result in cooperation agreements that protect you while satisfying the governments need for accountability. It can mean the difference between months and years of incarceration.
Reactive defense - waiting until youre charged - means fighting from a position of weakness. The government has already built their case. Theyve already frozen your assets. Theyve already turned your accountant. Every option available to you is worse than the options that existed six months earlier.
The pandemic created chaos. The government distributed trillions with minimal verification. Now theyre unwinding that chaos one prosecution at a time. If you touched PPP, EIDL, unemployment programs, or any CARES Act funding - and youre not certain every word on every application was accurate - you need to know your exposure.
Call Spodek Law Group at 212-300-5196. That call is confidential. What you tell us is protected. And it might be the difference between navigating this crisis strategically and having it destroy everything you've built.
The clock started when those programs launched. The statute runs until 2030 or beyond. How you use the time in between determines everything that follows.
Were watching business owners, doctors, accountants, and ordinary people lose everything because they waited too long to act. Dont be one of them. The government has unlimited resources and unlimited time. You have neither. Use what you have while you still have options. The next decision you make could change everything. Make the call.
Spodek Law Group
Spodek Law Group is a premier criminal defense firm led by Todd Spodek, featured on Netflix's "Inventing Anna." With 50+ years of combined experience in high-stakes criminal defense, our attorneys have represented clients in some of the most high-profile cases in New York and New Jersey.
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